Nikki Lovenduski

McKinley, G. A., Fay, A. R., Eddebbar, Y. A., Gloege, L., Nikki Lovenduski 2020: External forcing explains recent decadal variability in the ocean carbon sink. AGU Advances, 1(2): e2019AV000149. DOI: 10.1029/2019AV000149

Geneviève Elsworth, Nikki Lovenduski, McKinnon, K. A., Kristen Krumhardt, Riley Brady 2020: Finding the fingerprint of anthropogenic climate change in marine phytoplankton abundance. Current Climate Change Reports, 6: 37-46. DOI: 10.1007/s40641-020-00156-w

Deser, C., Lehner, F., Rodgers, K. B., Ault, T., Delworth, T. L., DiNezio, P. N., Fiore, A., Frankignoul, C., Fyfe, J. C., Horton, D. E., Kay, J. E., Knutti, R., Nikki Lovenduski, Marotzke, J., McKinnon, K. A., Minobe, S., Randerson, J., Screen, J. A., Simpson, I. R., Ting, M. 2020: Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects. Nature Climate Change, 10(4): 277-286. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2

Lester, J., Nikki Lovenduski, Graven, H., Long, M. C., Lindsay, K. 2020: Internal variability dominates over externally forced ocean circulation changes seen through CFCs. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(9): e2020GL087585. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087585

Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, Long, M. C., Luo, J. Y., Lindsay, K., Yeager, S., Harrison, C. 2020: Potential predictability of net primary production in the ocean. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 34(6): e2020GB006531. DOI: 10.1029/2020GB006531

Riley Brady, Nikki Lovenduski, Yeager, S. G., Long, M. C., Lindsay, K. 2020: Skillful multiyear predictions of ocean acidification in the California Current System. Nature Communications, 11: article 2166. DOI: 10.1038/s41467-02015722-x

Cynthia Nevison, David Munro, Nikki Lovenduski, Keeling, R. F., Manizza, M., Morgan, E. J., Rödenbeck, C. 2020: Southern Annular Mode influence on wintertime ventilation of the Southern Ocean detected in atmospheric O2 and CO2 measurements. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(4): e2019GL085667. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085667

Crawford, A.D., Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, van Dijken, G.L., Arrigo, K.R. 2020: Summer high‐wind events and phytoplankton productivity in the Arctic Ocean. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125, e2020JC016565. DOI: 10.1029/2020JC016565

Nikki Lovenduski, Cheryl Harrison, Holly Olivarez, Bardeen, C. G., Toon, O. B., Coupe, J., Robock, A., Rohr, T., Stevenson, S. 2020: The potential impact of nuclear conflict on ocean acidification. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(3): e2019GL086246. DOI: 10.1029/2019GL086246

Kwiatkowski, L., Torres, O., Bopp, L., Aumont, O., Chamberlain, M., Christian, J. R., Dunne, J. P., Gehlen, M., Ilyina, T., John, J. G., Lenton, A., Li, H., Nikki Lovenduski, Orr, J. C., Palmieri, J., Santana-Falcón, Y., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Stock, C. A., Tagliabue, A., Takano, Y., Tjiputra, J., Toyama, K., Tsujino, H., Watanabe, M., Yamamoto, A., Yool, A., Ziehn, T. 2020: Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections. Biogeosciences, 17(13): 3439-3470. DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-3439-2020

Riley Brady, Nikki Lovenduski, Alexander, M. A., Jacox, M., Gruber, N. 2019: On the role of climate modes in modulating the air–sea CO2 fluxes in eastern boundary upwelling systems. Biogeosciences, 16: 329-346. DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-329-2019 Preprint (5 MB)

Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, Long, M. C., Levy, M., Lindsay, K., Moore, J. K., Nissen, C. 2019: Coccolithophore growth and calcification in an acidified ocean: Insights from Community Earth System Model simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(5): 1418-1437. DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001483

Landschützer, P., Ilyina, T., Nikki Lovenduski 2019: Detecting regional modes of variability in observation‐based surface ocean pCO2. Geophysical Research Letters, 46(5): 2670-2679. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081756

Nikki Lovenduski, Gordon Bonan, Yeager, S. G., Lindsay, K., Lombardozzi, D. L. 2019: High predictability of terrestrial carbon fluxes from an initialized decadal prediction system. Environmental Research Letters, 14(12): article 124074. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab5c55

Capotondi, A., Jacox, M., Bowler, C., Kavanaugh, M., Lehodey, P., Barrie, D., Brodie, S., Chaffron, S., Cheng, W., Dias, D. F., Eveillard, D., Guidi, L., Iudicone, D., Nikki Lovenduski, Nye, J. A., Ortiz, I., Pirhalla, D., Pozo Buil, M., Saba, V., Sheridan, S., Siedlecki, S., Subramanian, A. , de Vargas, C., Di Lorenzo, E. , Doney, S.C., Hermann, A. J., Joyce, T., Merrifield, M., Miller, A. J., Not, F., Pesant, S. 2019: Observational needs supporting marine ecosystems modeling and forecasting: from the global ocean to regional and coastal systems. Frontiers in Marine Science, 6: article 623. DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00623

Nikki Lovenduski, Yeager, S. G., Lindsay, K., Long, M. C. 2019: Predicting near-term variability in ocean carbon uptake. Earth System Dynamics, 10(1): 45-57. DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-45-2019

Toon, O. B., Bardeen, C. G., Robock, A., Xia, L., Kristensen, H., McKinzie, M., Peterson, R. J., Cheryl Harrison, Nikki Lovenduski, Turco, R. P. 2019: Rapid expansion of nuclear arsenals by Pakistan and India portend regional and global catastrophe. Science Advances, 5(10): eeeay5478. DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aay5478

Negrete-García, G., Nikki Lovenduski, Hauri, C., Kristen Krumhardt, Lauvset, S. K. 2019: Sudden emergence of a shallow aragonite saturation horizon in the Southern Ocean. Nature Climate Change, 9(4): 313-317. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0418-8

Gruber, N., Landschützer, P., Nikki Lovenduski 2019: The variable Southern Ocean carbon sink. Annual Review of Marine Science, 11: 159-186. DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-121916-063407

Zhang, L., Han, W., Li, Y., Nikki Lovenduski 2019: Variability of sea level and upper-ocean heat content in the Indian Ocean: Effects of Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole and ENSO. Journal of Climate, 32: 7227-7245. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0167.1

Smith, K. M., Hamlington, P. E. , Niemeyer, K. E., Fox-Kemper, B., Nikki Lovenduski 2018: Effects of Langmuir turbulence on upper ocean carbonate chemistry. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 10(12): 3030-3048. DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001486

McKinley, G. A., Ritzer, A. L., Nikki Lovenduski 2018: Mechanisms of northern North Atlantic biomass variability. Biogeosciences, 15: 6049-6066. DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-6049-2018

Cheryl Harrison, Long, M. C., Nikki Lovenduski, Moore, J. K. 2018: Mesoscale effects on carbon export: A global perspective. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 32(4): 680-703. DOI: 10.1002/2017GB005751

Cynthia Nevison, David Munro, Nikki Lovenduski, Cassar, N., Keeling, R., Krummel, P., Tjiputra, J. 2018: Net community production in the Southern Ocean: Insights from comparing atmospheric potential oxygen to satellite ocean color algorithms and ocean models. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(19): 10549-10559. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL079575

Yeager, S. G., Danabasoglu, G., Rosenbloom, N. A., Strand, W., Bates, S. C., Meehl, G. A., Karspeck, A. R., Lindsay, K., Long, M. C., Teng, H., Nikki Lovenduski 2018: Predicting near-term changes in the earth system: A large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99(9): 1867-1886. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0098.1

Turi, G., Alexander, M., Nikki Lovenduski, Capotondi, A., Scott, J., Stock, C., Dunne, J., John, J., Jacox, M. 2018: Response of O2 and pH to ENSO in the California Current System in a high-resolution global climate model. Ocean Science, 14: 69-86. DOI: 10.5194/os-14-69-2018

Natalie Freeman, Nikki Lovenduski, David Munro, Kristen Krumhardt, Lindsay, K., Long, M. C., Maclennan, M. 2018: The variable and changing Southern Ocean Silicate Front: Insights from the CESM Large Ensemble. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 32(5): 752-768. DOI: 10.1029/2017GB005816

Fay, A. R., Nikki Lovenduski, McKinley, G. A., David Munro, Sweeney, C., Gray, A. R., Landschutzer, P., Stephens, B. B., Takahashi, T., Williams, N. 2018: Utilizing the Drake Passage Time-series to understand variability and change in subpolar Southern Ocean pCO2. Biogeosciences, 15(12): 3841-3855. DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-3841-2018

Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, Long, M. C., Lindsay, K. 2017: Avoidable impacts of ocean warming on marine primary production: Insights from the CESM ensembles. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 31(1): 114-133. DOI: 10.1002/2016GB005528

Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, Iglesias-Rodriguez, M. D., Kleypas, J. A. 2017: Coccolithophore growth and calcification in a changing ocean. Progress in Oceanography, 159: 276-295. DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2017.10.007

Riley Brady, Alexander, M., Nikki Lovenduski, Rykaczewski, R. 2017: Emergent anthropogenic trends in California Current upwelling. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(10): 5044-5052. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL072945 Manuscript (2 MB)

McKinley, G. A., Fay, A. R., Nikki Lovenduski, Pilcher, D. J. 2017: Natural variability and anthropogenic trends in the ocean carbon sink. Annual Review of Marine Science, 9: 125-150. DOI: 10.1146/annurev-marine-010816-060529 Preprint (4 MB)

Nikki Lovenduski, Bonan, G. B. 2017: Reducing uncertainty in projections of terrestrial carbon uptake. Environmental Research Letters, 12(4): article 044020. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa66b8

Kristen Krumhardt, Nikki Lovenduski, Natalie Freeman, Bates, N. R. 2016: Apparent increase in coccolithophore abundance in the subtropical North Atlantic from 1990 to 2014. Biogeosciences, 13: 1163-1177. DOI: 10.5194/bg-13-1163-2016

Natalie Freeman, Nikki Lovenduski 2016: Mapping the Antarctic Polar Front: Weekly realizations from 2002 to 2014. Earth System Science Data, 8: 191-198. DOI: 10.5194/essd-8-191-2016

Natalie Freeman, Nikki Lovenduski 2016: Mapping the Antarctic Polar Front: Weekly realizations from 2002 to 2014, links to NetCDF file and MPEG4 movie. PANGAEA data set. Supplement to Earth System Science Data, 8(1): 191-198. doi:10.5194/essd-8-191-2016 DOI: 10.1594/PANGAEA.855640

Nikki Lovenduski, McKinley, G. A., Fay, A. R., Lindsay, K., Long, M. C. 2016: Partitioning uncertainty in ocean carbon uptake projections: Internal variability, emission scenario, and model structure. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(9): 1276-1287. DOI: 10.1002/2016GB005426

Natalie Freeman, Nikki Lovenduski, Gent, P. R. 2016: Temporal variability in the Antarctic Polar Front (2002-2014). Journal of Geophysical Research—Oceans, 121(10): 7263-7276. DOI: 10.1002/2016JC012145

McKinley, G. A., Pilcher, D. J., Fay, A. R., Lindsay, K., Long, M. C., Nikki Lovenduski 2016: Timescales for detection of trends in the ocean carbon sink. Nature, 530: 469-472. DOI: 10.1038/nature16958

DiNezio, P. N., Barbero, L., Long, M. C., Nikki Lovenduski, Deser, C. 2015: Are anthropogenic changes in the tropical ocean carbon cycle masked by Pacific Decadal Variability?. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, 13(2): 12-16. [.pdf] (1 MB)

Chris Conrad, Nikki Lovenduski 2015: Climate-driven variability in the Southern Ocean carbonate system. Journal of Climate, 28(13): 5335-5350. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00481.1

Natalie Freeman, Nikki Lovenduski 2015: Decreased calcification in the Southern Ocean over the satellite record. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(6): 1834-1840. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062769

David Munro, Nikki Lovenduski, Stephens, B. B., Newberger, T., Arrigo, K. R., Takahashi, T., Quay, P. D., Sprintall, J., Natalie Freeman, Sweeney, C. 2015: Estimates of net community production in the Southern Ocean determined from time series observations (2002-2011) of nutrients, dissolved inorganic carbon, and surface ocean pCO2 in Drake Passage. Deep-Sea Research II, 114: 49-63. DOI: 10.1016/j.dsr2.2014.12.014

Nikki Lovenduski, Long, M. C., Lindsay, K. 2015: Natural variability in the surface ocean carbonate ion concentration. Biogeosciences, 12: 6321-6335. DOI: 10.5194/bg-12-6321-2015

Nikki Lovenduski, Fay, A. R., McKinley, G. A. 2015: Observing multidecadal trends in Southern Ocean CO2 uptake: What can we learn from an ocean model?. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29: 416-426. DOI: 10.1002/2014GB004933

David Munro, Nikki Lovenduski, Takahashi, T., Stephens, B. B., Newberger, T., Sweeney, C. 2015: Recent evidence for a strengthening CO2 sink in the Southern Ocean from carbonate system measurements in the Drake Passage (2002-2015). Geophysical Research Letters, 42: 7623-7630. DOI: 10.1002/2015GL065194

Fay, A. R., McKinley, G. A., Nikki Lovenduski 2014: Southern Ocean carbon trends: Sensitivity to methods. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(19): 6833-6840. DOI: 10.1002/2014GL061324

Nikki Lovenduski, Long, M. C., Gent, P. R., Lindsay, K. 2013: Multi-decadal trends in the advection and mixing of natural carbon in the Southern Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(1): 139-142. DOI: 10.1029/2012GL054483

Lenton, A., Tilbrook, B., Law, R. M., Bakker, D., Doney, S. C., Gruber, N., Ishii, M., Hoppema, M., Nikki Lovenduski, Matear, R. J., McNeil, B. I., Metzl, N., Mikaloff Fletcher, S. E., Monteiro, P. M. S., Rödenbeck, C., Sweeney, C., Takahashi, T. 2013: Sea-air CO2 fluxes in the Southern Ocean for the period 1990-2009. Biogeosciences, 10: 4037-4054. DOI: 10.5194/bg-10-4037-2013 pdf (9 MB)

Nikki Lovenduski 2012: Climate variability and Southern Ocean carbon uptake. U.S. CLIVAR Variations, 10(1). pdf (576 KB)

Speer, K., Nikki Lovenduski, England, M., Thompson, D., Beswick, C. 2012: Developing a vision for climate variability research in the Southern Ocean-ice-atmosphere system. CLIVAR Exchanges, 58: 43-45. pdf (780 KB)

Strutton, P. G., Nikki Lovenduski, Mongin, M., Matear, R. 2012: Quantification of Southern Ocean phytoplankton biomass and primary productivity via satellite observations and biogeochemical models. CCAMLR Science, 19: 247-265. pdf (3 MB)

Jones, D. C., Ito, T., Nikki Lovenduski 2011: The transient response of the Southern Ocean pycnocline to changing atmospheric winds. Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L15604. DOI: 10.1029/2011GL048145

Deutsch, C., Hofmann, E., Ito, T., Nikki Lovenduski, Russell, J., Sarmiento, J., Smith, W., Strutton, P. 2009: A U.S. Southern Ocean Carbon, Ecosystems and Biogeochemistry Science Plan. 44 pp. pdf (6 MB)

Nikki Lovenduski, Ito, T. 2009: The future evolution of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink. Journal of Marine Research, 67(5): 597-617. DOI: 10.1357/002224009791218832 pdf (5 MB)

Nikki Lovenduski, Gruber, N., Doney, S. C. 2008: Toward a mechanistic understanding of the decadal trends in the Southern Ocean carbon sink. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 22: GB3016. DOI: 10.1029/2007GB003139

Nikki Lovenduski, Gruber, N., Doney, S. C., Lima, I. D. 2007: Enhanced CO2 outgassing in the Southern Ocean from a positive phase of the Southern Annular Mode. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 21: GB2026. DOI: 10.1029/2006GB002900

Nikki Lovenduski 2007: Impact of the Southern Annular Mode on Southern Ocean circulation and biogeochemistry. Ph.D. dissertation, University of California at Los Angeles, 104 pp.

Ehlmann, B. L., Arvidson, R. E., Jolliff, B. L., Johnson, S. S., Brian Ebel, Nikki Lovenduski, Morris, J. D., Byers, J. A., Snider, N. O., Criss, R. E. 2005: Hydrologic and isotopic modeling of alpine Lake Waiau, Mauna Kea, Hawai'i. Pacific Science, 59(1), 1-15. DOI: 10.1353/psc.2005.0005 pdf (687 KB)

Nikki Lovenduski, Gruber, N. 2005: Impact of the Southern Annular Mode on Southern Ocean circulation and biology. Geophysical Research Letters, 32: L11603. DOI: 10.1029/2005GL022727 pdf (261 KB)